Revolution of Rising Expectations

Revolution of Rising Expectations

10 October 2025

In response to my post Change in the Air, I received two thoughtful reactions.

The first challenged my comparison between today’s Gen Z–led protests and the Arab Spring, arguing that the latter was driven by external powers pursuing their own geopolitical interests. That’s partly true. The unrest was genuine, but foreign actors did back factions that served their agenda—a reminder that if this new wave of change continues, outside interference will likely follow.

The second reaction came from closer to home. Some argued that people on Curaçao have no reason to rise. The current government was elected with an absolute majority, something unseen for years. Mistakes have been made, but not on a scale to bring it down. Critics, they say, are mostly opposition supporters chasing a mirage. Others suggested my view was wishful thinking: the government remains popular, heavily promotes its achievements, and there is no real alternative.

Before going further, a disclaimer: I am not a revolutionary, nor do I advocate revolution. History shows that after any revolution, rebuilding is slow and painful. I would much rather see governments adjust course through reflection and reform—and as a governance expert, I would gladly help them do so.

Still, the absence of alternatives does not preclude unrest. Political science teaches us about the revolution of rising expectations: revolutions often occur not when things are worse, but when they start to improve and progress fails to reach everyone. When expectations outpace reality, frustration grows.

Curaçao may now be entering that stage. After years of hardship, conditions are improving, yet many feel left behind. Fifteen years after 10-10-10, we may again find ourselves at a familiar crossroads—where rising hopes could quietly set the stage for change.

Miguel Goede